Department of Disaster Management Anguilla

Public Advisory No. 2

1:00pm Tuesday 2 September 2008

Anguilla is no longer in the five-day forecast envelope for Tropical Storm IKE however we are still close to the boundary.
According to the National Hurricane Centre (NHC) Tropical Storm IKE will have some strengthening in the next two days.





The official forecast this afternoon from the National Hurricane Centre is as follows:

...IKE STRENGTHENS A LITTLE OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IKE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.0 WEST OR ABOUT 1110
MILES...1785 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AND IKE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...18.9 N...45.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

Boaters, fishermen and those living at or visiting the beach need to monitor the storms progress and take precautions as the storm nears. See below the Mariners 123 Chart for areas defined as dangerous and note Anguilla is still in this danger zone:



The National Disaster Management Committee will be convened if and when Anguilla enters the 3-day or 72-hour forecast area.

As a reminder, residents are encouraged to check their preparations for the season including shutters, food supplies, medicines and water. Please take time to clean up yards and properties, remove old vehicles and appliances, and strap down cooking gas tanks to reduce dangerous flying debris in the event of a tropical storm or hurricane.

A further bulletin will be issued after the 2pm National Hurricane Centre Update is received.

5 Day Cone Diagram Below, 3 day Cone in solid white:



Repeating:

The ninth depression of the season became Tropical Storm IKE last evening and Anguilla is close to the boundary of the 5 day forecast envelope.

This means Anguilla could experience Tropical Storm or Hurricane force conditions within the next 3-5 days however as the storm formed closer to the Lesser Antilles, Anguilla may soon enter the 3 day forecast envelope.

According to the National Hurricane Centre (NHC) some strengthening is forecast in the next two days.

Boaters, fishermen and those living at or visiting the beach need to monitor the storms progress, Mariners 123 chart and take precautions if the storm nears.

Residents and visitors should listen to Radio Anguilla, local radio stations and television stations for updates


Further Caribbean Basin News:

The tenth tropical depression of the season became Tropical Storm Josephine this morning, at this time the Department of Disaster Management is monitoring this storm closely.


Tropical Storm Hanna is producing heavy rains over the southeastern Bahamas and
Hispaniola and a hurricane warning remains in effect for the central Bahamas...the
Southeastern Bahamas...and the Turks and Caicos islands.


If you require additional information please call the Department of Disaster Management on 497-2926 or 476- 3622 or 476-3623.